The Dynamics of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratios Predict Progression to Septic Shock and Death in Patients with Prolonged Intensive Care Unit Stay.

Background and objectives: The prognoses of patients experiencing a prolonged stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) are often significantly altered by hospital-acquired infections (HAIs), the early detection of which might be cumbersome. The aim of this study was to investigate the roles of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR), derived-NRL (d-NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein (LCR) ratios in predicting the progression to septic shock and death. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis of a consecutive series of ninety COVID-19 patients with prolonged hospitalization (exceeding 15 days) admitted to the ICU was conducted. The prevalence of culture-proven HAIs throughout their hospital stays was documented. NLR, dNLR, PLR, and LCR were recorded on admission, day 7, and day 14 to assess their discriminative prowess for detecting further progression to septic shock or death. Results: The prevalence of HAIs was 76.6%, 50% of patients met the criteria for septic shock, and 50% died. The median time to the first positive culture was 13.5 days and 20.5 days for developing septic shock. Mechanical ventilation was a key contributing factor to HAI, septic shock, and mortality. On admission and day 7 NLR, dNLR, PLR, and LCR values had no prognostic relevance for events occurring late during hospitalization. However, day-14 NLR, dNLR, and PLR were independent predictors for progression to septic shock and mortality and have shown good discriminative capabilities. The AUCs for septic shock were 0.762, 0.764, and 0.716, while the values for predicting in-hospital death were 0.782, 0.778, and 0.758, respectively. Conclusions: NLR, dNLR, and PLR are quick, easy-to-use, cheap, effective biomarkers for the detection of a more severe disease course, of the late development of HAIs, and of the risk of death in critically ill patients requiring a prolonged ICU stay.

Nutritional Risk Assessment Scores Effectively Predict Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with Severe COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition predicts a worse outcome for critically ill patients. However, quick, easy-to-use nutritional risk assessment tools have not been adequately validated. AIMS AND METHODS: The study aimed to evaluate the role of four biological nutritional risk assessment instruments (the Prognostic Nutritional Index-PNI, the Controlling Nutritional Status Score-CONUT, the Nutrition Risk in Critically Ill-NUTRIC, and the modified NUTRIC-mNUTRIC), along with CT-derived fat tissue and muscle mass measurements in predicting in-hospital mortality in a consecutive series of 90 patients hospitalized in the intensive care unit for COVID-19-associated ARDS. RESULTS: In-hospital mortality was 46.7% (n = 42/90). Non-survivors had a significantly higher nutritional risk, as expressed by all four scores. All scores were independent predictors of mortality on the multivariate regression models. PNI had the best discriminative capabilities for mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.77 for a cut-off value of 28.05. All scores had an AUC above 0.72. The volume of fat tissue and muscle mass were not associated with increased mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: PNI, CONUT, NUTRIC, and mNUTRIC are valuable nutritional risk assessment tools that can accurately predict mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19-associated ARDS.

Liver Injury and Elevated FIB-4 Define a High-Risk Group in Patients with COVID-19.

Liver involvement in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been widely documented. However, data regarding liver-related prognosis are scarce and heterogeneous. The current study aims to evaluate the role of abnormal liver tests and incidental elevations of non-invasive fibrosis estimators on the prognosis of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate the impact of elevated liver tests, non-invasive fibrosis estimators (the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Forns, APRI scores, and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio), and the presence of computed tomography (CT)-documented liver steatosis on mortality in patients with moderate and severe COVID-19, with no prior liver disease history. A total of 370 consecutive patients were included, of which 289 patients (72.9%) had abnormal liver biochemistry on admission. Non-survivors had significantly higher FIB-4, Forns, APRI scores, and a higher AST/ALT ratio. On multivariate analysis, severe FIB-4 (exceeding 3.25) and elevated AST were independently associated with mortality. Severe FIB-4 had an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.73 for predicting survival. The presence of steatosis was not associated with a worse outcome. Patients with abnormal liver biochemistry on arrival might be susceptible to a worse disease outcome. An FIB-4 score above the threshold of 3.25, suggestive of the presence of fibrosis, is associated with higher mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.